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Post by Millennium on Oct 18, 2016 19:54:42 GMT -5
I would think IF Penn State wins BIG 10 Conference then they will be top 4 seed. If this happens then they will host a regional providing they win rounds 1/2. If this happens, Penn State's final RPI before tournament will not prevent a top 4 seed. IMHO. Nice to have you back. According to Bluepenquin on VT:1) If Penn State loses 6 of their final 12 matches, then they are likely to play the tournament on the road (or in real danger of not hosting) [with a 21-9 final record]. 2) If Penn State wins 7 more conference matches [which is highly likely IMO], then they are likely to host a sub-regional [which would be a 22-8 final record]. Read more: volleytalk.proboards.com/thread/65994/ncaa-rpi-10-17-16#ixzz4NUJIwEDb |
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Post by bob2061 on Oct 18, 2016 21:32:10 GMT -5
IMO if Penn State wins 10 of their 12 final matches they have a good chance to host a regional.
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Post by nyline on Oct 18, 2016 23:35:37 GMT -5
In my opinion, if Penn State wiins all of their remaining matches, VT wiill have a meltdown. I will not give odds on the first thing happening. The second would be a certainty.
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Post by Millennium on Oct 25, 2016 7:48:11 GMT -5
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Post by nyline on Oct 25, 2016 13:40:40 GMT -5
What I find most interesting is that Bluepenquin predicts that Minnesota and Wisconsin will also end up with five B1G losses, and Nebraska will end up with three. |
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Post by Millennium on Oct 25, 2016 20:15:41 GMT -5
What I find most interesting is that Bluepenquin predicts that Minnesota and Wisconsin will also end up with five B1G losses, and Nebraska will end up with three. I'm thinking Penn State takes their home match against Nebraska (we've been playing well at home). I also think the Gophers will beat Nebraska in Minnesota (heck, they almost beat them in Nebraska). Add the loss to tOSU, and you have Nebraska's 3 losses. Pretty uncanny how it all works. FYI (for those who do not know) - Bluepenquin uses the Pablo rankings (very good current strength ranking) indicator for his prediction algorithm. |
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Post by nyline on Oct 26, 2016 6:51:53 GMT -5
What I find most interesting is that Bluepenquin predicts that Minnesota and Wisconsin will also end up with five B1G losses, and Nebraska will end up with three. I'm thinking Penn State takes their home match against Nebraska (we've been playing well at home). I also think the Gophers will beat Nebraska in Minnesota (heck, they almost beat them in Nebraska). Add the loss to tOSU, and you have Nebraska's 3 losses. Pretty uncanny how it all works. FYI (for those who do not know) - Bluepenquin uses the Pablo rankings (very good current strength ranking) indicator for his prediction algorithm. OK, that gets you through Round 1. What about Rounds 2 and 3 (Minnesota and Wisconsin)?  |
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Post by Millennium on Oct 26, 2016 14:59:47 GMT -5
I'm thinking Penn State takes their home match against Nebraska (we've been playing well at home). I also think the Gophers will beat Nebraska in Minnesota (heck, they almost beat them in Nebraska). Add the loss to tOSU, and you have Nebraska's 3 losses. Pretty uncanny how it all works. FYI (for those who do not know) - Bluepenquin uses the Pablo rankings (very good current strength ranking) indicator for his prediction algorithm. OK, that gets you through Round 1. What about Rounds 2 and 3 (Minnesota and Wisconsin)? Sorry, I wasn't very clear. I was only referring to Nebraska's 3 losses. |
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Post by nyline on Oct 26, 2016 19:20:53 GMT -5
OK, that gets you through Round 1. What about Rounds 2 and 3 (Minnesota and Wisconsin)? Sorry, I wasn't very clear. I was only referring to Nebraska's 3 losses. No, I understood. I just want to see how you (or anyone) sees the season shaping up for Minny and the Badgers. |
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Post by Millennium on Oct 26, 2016 21:17:05 GMT -5
Sorry, I wasn't very clear. I was only referring to Nebraska's 3 losses. No, I understood. I just want to see how you (or anyone) sees the season shaping up for Minny and the Badgers. The Gophers have 4 losses and still have a tough schedule, so I wouldn't be surprised if they have another loss or two. Minnesota will be tough. And I think they could go far, but I wouldn't bet money on it. Wisconsin already has 3 losses, and it's not hard to fathom that they lose against both PSU and Minnesota before the tourney begins. I'm not worried about the Badgers, I don't think they are that good; overrated for sure. |
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Post by Millennium on Nov 1, 2016 8:42:39 GMT -5
As of 10/31/16 Projected RPI Rank (Previous week projection) Team (Projected Wins - Losses) - SOS Rank19. (12) Penn State (22-9, 14-6) - 24 PSU is now projected to lose 9 total matches (with 6 conference losses). Here is Bluepenquin's +1/-1 Conference Win.
Penn State (14 Wins-20) (15 Wins-15) (13 Wins-23) Read more: volleytalk.proboards.com/thread/66259/rpi-futures-week-10-30#ixzz4OlR5DOnz |
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Post by Millennium on Nov 7, 2016 22:17:27 GMT -5
As of 11/07/16 Projected RPI Rank (Previous week projection) Team (Projected Wins - Losses) - SOS Rank20. (19) Penn State (22-9, 14-6) - 25 PSU is STILL projected to lose 9 total matches (with 6 conference losses). Not bad, considering I think they will only lose 1 more match this year. I'm overly optimistic.  Therefore, according to the chart below, if we get out of the conference with 5 losses (instead of the projected 6 losses), we are looking at an RPI of 15, which would almost guaranty that we host in the first 2 rounds. Although, even with 6 conference losses and an RPI of 20-21, there is still a good chance we'll host. The reason I'm hearing is because of the proximity of other playoff bound schools needing a local hosting site. Here is Bluepenquin's +1/-1 Conference Win20. Penn State (14 Wins-21) (15 Wins-17) (13 Wins-26) Read more: volleytalk.proboards.com/thread/66383/rpi-futures-week-11-16#ixzz4PNpE7zjg |
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Post by lionsfan on Nov 9, 2016 13:50:03 GMT -5
As of 11/07/16 Projected RPI Rank (Previous week projection) Team (Projected Wins - Losses) - SOS Rank20. (19) Penn State (22-9, 14-6) - 25 PSU is STILL projected to lose 9 total matches (with 6 conference losses). Not bad, considering I think they will only lose 1 more match this year. I'm overly optimistic. Therefore, according to the chart below, if we get out of the conference with 5 losses (instead of the projected 6 losses), we are looking at an RPI of 15, which would almost guaranty that we host in the first 2 rounds. Although, even with 6 conference losses and an RPI of 20-21, there is still a good chance we'll host. The reason I'm hearing is because of the proximity of other playoff bound schools needing a local hosting site. Here is Bluepenquin's +1/-1 Conference Win20. Penn State (14 Wins-21) (15 Wins-17) (13 Wins-26) Read more: volleytalk.proboards.com/thread/66383/rpi-futures-week-11-16#ixzz4PNpE7zjg I think that chart translates into an RPI of 17 if we have 5 conference losses (meaning 15 wins)...which would be a lot more seed-comfy. I hope they don't lose any more than 1, if any |
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Post by Millennium on Nov 9, 2016 16:43:42 GMT -5
As of 11/07/16 Projected RPI Rank (Previous week projection) Team (Projected Wins - Losses) - SOS Rank20. (19) Penn State (22-9, 14-6) - 25 PSU is STILL projected to lose 9 total matches (with 6 conference losses). Not bad, considering I think they will only lose 1 more match this year. I'm overly optimistic. Therefore, according to the chart below, if we get out of the conference with 5 losses (instead of the projected 6 losses), we are looking at an RPI of 15, which would almost guaranty that we host in the first 2 rounds. Although, even with 6 conference losses and an RPI of 20-21, there is still a good chance we'll host. The reason I'm hearing is because of the proximity of other playoff bound schools needing a local hosting site. Here is Bluepenquin's +1/-1 Conference Win20. Penn State (14 Wins-21) (15 Wins-17) (13 Wins-26) Read more: volleytalk.proboards.com/thread/66383/rpi-futures-week-11-16#ixzz4PNpE7zjg I think that chart translates into an RPI of 17 if we have 5 conference losses (meaning 15 wins)...which would be a lot more seed-comfy. I hope they don't lose any more than 1, if any Yes, exactly. I do believe that PSU will have just one more loss to the Huskers in Nebraska. Any others losses would have to be upsets, and I think this team is good enough to avoid any upsets. Yup, with an RPI of 17, PSU would comfortable get home court advantage in the first two rounds. |
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Post by Millennium on Nov 14, 2016 15:47:55 GMT -5
This weeks RPI for Penn State according to the NCAA website is # 25.
I wonder where they send us for the first 2 rounds?
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