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Post by nyline on Nov 21, 2017 21:09:30 GMT -5
Well thanks for educating me PSUMAUI. In that case there ratings index needs to be scrutinized. Many people agree with you. |
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Post by stillkicking on Nov 22, 2017 5:23:36 GMT -5
Or to put it another way "to err is human to really screw things up you need a computer"
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Post by Deleted on Nov 22, 2017 12:37:58 GMT -5
Or the old standby, "There are lies, damn lies, and statistics."
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Post by bob2061 on Nov 22, 2017 13:12:44 GMT -5
Or maybe, "Figures don't lie but liars figure.
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Post by psumaui on Nov 22, 2017 20:23:05 GMT -5
Right now this is RPI:
1 Kentucky .7170
2 Florida .7145
3 Penn State .7129
4 Texas .7118
FL received .0014 bonus points for beating a top 50 team. Kentucky cannot receive any bonus points today for playing #57 Arkansas. There are other factors where they both can gain or lose points based on w/l of opponents and opponents opponents today.
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Post by psumaui on Nov 23, 2017 19:47:09 GMT -5
Today's RPI top 5 and teams left to play
1 Kentucky.7154 - #56 Georgia
2 Florida.7137 - #34 Missouri
3 Stanford.7100 - #114 Cal
4 Penn State.7077 - #11 Wisconsin, #6 Minnesota
5 Texas.7053 - #12 Baylor
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Post by armydoogie on Nov 23, 2017 20:05:15 GMT -5
Today's RPI top 5 and teams left to play 1 Kentucky.7154 - #56 Georgia 2 Florida.7137 - #34 Missouri 3 Stanford.7100 - #114 Cal 4 Penn State.7077 - #11 Wisconsin, #6 Minnesota 5 Texas.7053 - #12 Baylor Psumaui... is it possible that the outcome of The Lady Lion's remaining matches could have less RPI impact than the mere fact of playing them would improve our RPI? In other words, is it better for our RPI to lose both than never play either? Just from an RPI statistical viewpoint. Not weighing in AVCA selection criteria. |
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Post by psumaui on Nov 23, 2017 20:16:33 GMT -5
Today's RPI top 5 and teams left to play 1 Kentucky.7154 - #56 Georgia 2 Florida.7137 - #34 Missouri 3 Stanford.7100 - #114 Cal 4 Penn State.7077 - #11 Wisconsin, #6 Minnesota 5 Texas.7053 - #12 Baylor Psumaui... is it possible that the outcome of The Lady Lion's remaining matches could have less RPI impact than the mere fact of playing them would improve our RPI? In other words, is it better for our RPI to lose both than never play either? Just from an RPI statistical viewpoint. Not weighing in AVCA selection criteria. If they lost/didn't play, they would not get those .0056 (.0028 each) valuable bonus points this weekend for beating two top 25 teams. It would be better to not play than to lose the matches. Losing would decrease Penn State w/l % which would decrease their 1st part of the RPI calculation which is 25% of their RPI score. If you look at the current points for KY and FL you will see FL is not far behind KY. Since KY will get no bonus points for beating GA and FL will gain .0014 bonus points for beating Missouri on top of opponents and opponents opponents w/l %, FL should jump KY. Stanford also will not get any bonus points for playing #114 Cal so it's logical that Penn State should jump up to #3 Friday night and #2 Saturday night. Texas will only get .0028 bonus points for beating Baylor and should stay at #5 Saturday night. From what I am seeing. Should Penn State win both of their matches, FL will be #1 and Penn State would be #2 after all matches have been played Saturday night. It should be extremely close (#1 and #2). If that is the case then I would still think the committee will vote Penn State #1 seed. If Penn State either lost or didn't play, they would either stay at #4 or drop to #5. |
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Post by armydoogie on Nov 23, 2017 23:29:08 GMT -5
Psumaui... is it possible that the outcome of The Lady Lion's remaining matches could have less RPI impact than the mere fact of playing them would improve our RPI? In other words, is it better for our RPI to lose both than never play either? Just from an RPI statistical viewpoint. Not weighing in AVCA selection criteria. If they lost/didn't play, they would not get those .0056 (.0028 each) valuable bonus points this weekend for beating two top 25 teams. It would be better to not play than to lose the matches. Losing would decrease Penn State w/l % which would decrease their 1st part of the RPI calculation which is 25% of their RPI score. If you look at the current points for KY and FL you will see FL is not far behind KY. Since KY will get no bonus points for beating GA and FL will gain .0014 bonus points for beating Missouri on top of opponents and opponents opponents w/l %, FL should jump KY. Stanford also will not get any bonus points for playing #114 Cal so it's logical that Penn State should jump up to #3 Friday night and #2 Saturday night. Texas will only get .0028 bonus points for beating Baylor and should stay at #5 Saturday night. From what I am seeing. Should Penn State win both of their matches, FL will be #1 and Penn State would be #2 after all matches have been played Saturday night. It should be extremely close (#1 and #2). If that is the case then I would still think the committee will vote Penn State #1 seed. If Penn State either lost or didn't play, they would either stay at #4 or drop to #5. Thanks. That helps me to understand RPI a bit better. |
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Post by psumaui on Nov 24, 2017 23:43:46 GMT -5
Current RPI (still a couple of matches not completed yet). Would be great if Colorado could beat Utah tonight. This one may go 5. Will give regular RPI list later tonight which may change some.
1 Kentucky.7184
2 Penn State.7134
3 Florida.7127
4 Stanford.7101
5 Texas.7045
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Post by Deleted on Nov 25, 2017 0:47:16 GMT -5
Current RPI (still a couple of matches not completed yet). Would be great if Colorado could beat Utah tonight. This one may go 5. Will give regular RPI list later tonight which may change some. 1 Kentucky.7184 2 Penn State.71 34 3 Florida.71 27 4 Stanford.7101 5 Texas.7045 Kentucky?  |
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Post by psumaui on Nov 25, 2017 2:23:55 GMT -5
Current RPI (still a couple of matches not completed yet). Would be great if Colorado could beat Utah tonight. This one may go 5. Will give regular RPI list later tonight which may change some. 1 Kentucky.7184 2 Penn State.71 34 3 Florida.71 27 4 Stanford.7101 5 Texas.7045 Kentucky? With a win by both FL and Penn State, KY should drop KY down below both of them. |
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Post by psumaui on Nov 25, 2017 4:38:43 GMT -5
The 2017 DI NCAA Women's Volleyball Tournament field is almost complete!
The current top 35 teams should be safe and make it in the NCAA tournament. Additionally, there 19 AQ teams below #35 that will also make it into post season.
That leaves 10 teams from the bubble list for the selection committee to select from. Still one day left of regular season matches that can affect some of the bubble teams rankings by end of day Saturday.
RPI since Sunday night after all Friday's matches completed.
1 Kentucky SEC 0.7185 26-3
2 Penn State BIG10 0.7129 28-1
3 Florida SEC 0.7127 24-1 - AQ - CONFERENCE WINNER
4 Stanford PAC 0.7088 25-3 - AQ - CONFERENCE WINNER
5 Texas BIG12 0.7047 23-2 - AQ - CONFERENCE WINNER
6 Nebraska BIG10 0.6977 25-4 - AQ - CONFERENCE WINNER
7 Minnesota BIG10 0.6906 26-4
8 Washington PAC 0.6864 24-7
9 Southern California PAC 0.6637 22-8
10 Utah PAC 0.6634 22-9
11 Creighton BE 0.6591 24-6 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
12 Baylor BIG12 0.6579 23-5
13 Iowa State BIG12 0.6567 20-6
14 Kansas BIG12 0.6561 22-6
15 Wichita State AAC 0.6555 28-3 - AQ - CONFERENCE WINNER
16 BYU WCC 0.6553 28-2
17 Wisconsin BIG10 0.6535 19-9
18 Cal Poly BIGW 0.6484 26-2 - AQ - CONFERENCE WINNER
19 San Diego WCC 0.6483 24-4 - AQ - CONFERENCE WINNER
20 Michigan State BIG10 0.6440 20-8
21 Louisville ACC 0.6420 24-6 - AQ - CONFERENCE WINNER
22 UCLA PAC 0.6419 18-10
23 Purdue BIG10 0.6404 22-9
24 Oregon PAC 0.6397 17-11
25 Colorado PAC 0.6393 22-9
26 Illinois BIG10 0.6347 20-10
27 Pittsburgh ACC 0.6340 24-6
28 Western Kentucky CUSA 0.6292 30-3 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
29 Michigan BIG10 0.6255 21-11
30 Marquette BE 0.6211 22-8
31 Oregon State PAC 0.6196 21-11
32 Colorado State MW 0.6170 27-3 - AQ - CONFERENCE WINNER
33 Missouri SEC 0.6144 20-10
34 Miami (Florida) ACC 0.6129 21-5
35 VCU A10 0.6076 30-2 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
36 Hawaii BIGW 0.6042 20-7
37 Washington State PAC 0.6008 17-15
38 Notre Dame ACC 0.5998 22-9
39 Northern Iowa MVC 0.5995 26-7
40 High Point BIGS 0.5993 24-7
41 Missouri State MVC 0.5987 28-5 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
42 Ohio State BIG10 0.5986 15-16 - ELIMINTATED
43 Florida State ACC 0.5979 18-10
43 Kennesaw State ASUN 0.5979 21-4 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
45 LSU SEC 0.5967 20-9
46 Iowa BIG10 0.5947 18-14
49 James Madison CAA 0.5932 23-5 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
54 Denver SUMMT 0.5872 23-5 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
57 Austin Peay OVC 0.5838 30-5 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
59 Radford BIGS 0.5807 25-4 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
62 Princeton IVY 0.5777 18-7 - AQ - CONFERENCE WINNER
63 American PAT 0.5749 26-7 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
64 Miami (Ohio) MAC 0.5738 23-8 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
66 Central Arkansas Southland 0.5692 27-4 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
67 Cleveland State HORZ 0.5624 21-7 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
70 North Dakota SKY 0.5642 30-7 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
72 Coastal Carolina SUN 0.5614 20-7 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
85 East Tennessee State Southern 0.5525 19-11 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
110 LIU Brooklyn NEC 0.5344 20-9 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
147 Fairfield MAAC 0.5115 25-6 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
166 Stony Brook AMEST 0.4974 18-12 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
185 Cal State Bakersfield WAC 0.4880 19-13 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
195 Alabama State SWAC 0.4820 28-10 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
240 Howard MEAC 0.4538 15-15 - AQ - CONFERENCE TOURNAMENT WINNER
======POST SEASON CUTOFF==============
47 North Carolina State ACC 0.5943 20-11
48 College of Charleston CAA 0.5936 27-5
50 North Texas CUSA 0.5920 28-3
51 Auburn SEC 0.5906 15-11
52 Maryland BIG10 0.5892 18-14
53 Dayton A10 0.5887 23-8
55 Butler BE 0.5862 23-8
56 Georgia SEC 0.5846 20-11
58 Arkansas SEC 0.5825 18-11
60 Texas A&M SEC 0.5796 9-15 - ELIMINTATED
61 Alabama SEC 0.5787 18-13
64 Miami (Ohio) MAC 0.5730 23-8
Purple = on bubble NOTE: there are still 4 more AQ teams to be determined.
Blue = less than .0010 points separate teams
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Final matches for top 10 teams
1. Kentucky - None
2. Penn State - #7 Minnesota
3. Florida - None
4. Stanford - #114 Cal
5. Texas - None
6. Nebraska - #46 Iowa
7. Minnesota - #2 Penn State
8. Washington - None
9 USC - #22 UCLA
10. Utah - None
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Post by psumaui on Nov 25, 2017 20:15:49 GMT -5
Top 5 RPI right now
1 Kentucky.7138
2 Penn State.7136
3 Florida.7133
4 Texas.7120
5 Stanford.7092
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Post by Millennium on Nov 25, 2017 20:19:47 GMT -5
Sweet, we are very close now.
According to Bluepenquin on VT, if UCLA defeats USC we will surpass Kentucky.
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